Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Brest
Sunday, December 17 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, December 17 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 1-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
We said: Brest 2-1 Lorient
Brest have been one of the most improved sides in Ligue 1 this season and will be looking to secure another win before the December break. Lorient have failed to win a single match on the road this season, and we feel they will struggle to improve that record in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 53.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 21.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Lorient |
53.94% ( 0.18) | 24.1% ( -0.07) | 21.95% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 51.12% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.06% ( 0.19) | 49.93% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.08% ( 0.17) | 71.92% ( -0.17) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.57% ( 0.14) | 18.42% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.4% ( 0.23) | 49.59% ( -0.23) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.67% ( 0) | 37.33% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.89% ( 0) | 74.11% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Brest 53.94%
Lorient 21.95%
Draw 24.1%
| Brest | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 11.63% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.27% Total : 53.94% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.1% | 0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.67% Total : 21.95% |
How you voted: Brest vs Lorient
Brest
78.6%Draw
14.3%Lorient
7.1%42
Head to Head
May 7, 2023 2pm
Oct 9, 2022 2pm
Feb 27, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 26
Brest
0-1
Lorient
Apr 4, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 31
Lorient
1-0
Brest
