MX23RW : Monday, December 23 05:39:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Dec 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Lorient logo

Brest
4 - 0
Lorient

Doumbia (22', 25', 29', 45+3')
Brassier (87')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Junior Kroupi (70'), Silva (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Brest
Sunday, December 17 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 1-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 2-1 Lorient

Brest have been one of the most improved sides in Ligue 1 this season and will be looking to secure another win before the December break. Lorient have failed to win a single match on the road this season, and we feel they will struggle to improve that record in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 53.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 21.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawLorient
53.94% (0.179 0.18) 24.1% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 21.95% (-0.107 -0.11)
Both teams to score 51.12% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.06% (0.186 0.19)49.93% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.08% (0.167 0.17)71.92% (-0.166 -0.17)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.57% (0.139 0.14)18.42% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.4% (0.233 0.23)49.59% (-0.235 -0.23)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.67% (0.0019999999999953 0)37.33% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)74.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Brest 53.94%
    Lorient 21.95%
    Draw 24.1%
BrestDrawLorient
1-0 @ 11.63% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.84% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.55% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.47% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.35% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 53.94%
1-1 @ 11.46% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.88% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 6.78% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.65% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 21.95%

How you voted: Brest vs Lorient

Brest
78.6%
Draw
14.3%
Lorient
7.1%
42
Head to Head
May 7, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 34
Lorient
2-1
Brest
Kone (32', 51')
Del Castillo (69' pen.)
Oct 9, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 10
Brest
1-2
Lorient
Moffi (24', 53')
Feb 27, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 26
Brest
0-1
Lorient

Satriano (45+4'), Agoume (81')
Chardonnet (29')
Kone (73')
Innocent (43'), Lauriente (45'), Mendes (45+4'), Abergel (65')
Nov 7, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 13
Lorient
1-2
Brest
Grbic (5')
Silva (76')
Hergault (28')
Faivre (58' pen.), Mounie (80')
Honorat (44')
Apr 4, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 31
Lorient
1-0
Brest
Abergel (45')
Abergel (20'), Monconduit (78'), Hamel (88')

Mounie (52'), Brassier (85')
Belkebla (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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