MX23RW : Monday, May 12 15:21:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Strasbourg

Lorient
1 - 2
Strasbourg

Dieng (53')
Dieng (32'), Mendy (71'), Toure (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bakwa (14'), Gameiro (49')
Perrin (68'), Sels (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 2-4 Marseille
Sunday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-1 Le Havre
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 1-2 Strasbourg

As we near the end of 2023, Strasbourg appear to be finding their form, and we expect them to put away at least a couple of their opportunities against a Lorient side who have been poor defensively throughout the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Strasbourg in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Strasbourg.

Result
LorientDrawStrasbourg
34.73% (-1.596 -1.6) 25.33%39.93% (1.597 1.6)
Both teams to score 56.32% (-0.208 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.6% (-0.179 -0.18)47.4% (0.178 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.38% (-0.163 -0.16)69.62% (0.163 0.16)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.64% (-1.003 -1)26.36% (1.003 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.49% (-1.357 -1.36)61.5% (1.356 1.36)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (0.75 0.75)23.51% (-0.751 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.45% (1.076 1.08)57.55% (-1.077 -1.08)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 34.73%
    Strasbourg 39.93%
    Draw 25.33%
LorientDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 8.26% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-1 @ 7.98% (-0.227 -0.23)
2-0 @ 5.51% (-0.282 -0.28)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.45% (-0.201 -0.2)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 34.73%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 8.97% (0.259 0.26)
1-2 @ 8.66% (0.193 0.19)
0-2 @ 6.5% (0.325 0.33)
1-3 @ 4.18% (0.182 0.18)
0-3 @ 3.13% (0.221 0.22)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.097 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.103 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 39.93%

How you voted: Lorient vs Strasbourg

Lorient
Draw
Strasbourg
Lorient
22.2%
Draw
48.1%
Strasbourg
29.6%
27
Head to Head
Jun 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Lorient
2-1
Strasbourg
Faivre (10', 36')
Abergel (89')
Nov 13, 2022 4.05pm
Gameweek 15
Strasbourg
1-1
Lorient
Diallo (87')
Moffi (5')
Mar 20, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 29
Lorient
0-0
Strasbourg
Innocent (22'), Ouattara (76')
Bellegarde (29'), Perrin (89')
Oct 31, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 12
Strasbourg
4-0
Lorient
Ajorque (28'), Diallo (39', 45+1'), Thomasson (64')
Sissoko (36')
May 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 38
Strasbourg
1-1
Lorient
Diallo (18')
Carole (10')
Chalobah (55')
Laporte (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG33256289345581
2Marseille33195970452562
3MonacoMonaco33187863372661
4Nice33169860411957
5Lille33169850351557
6StrasbourgStrasbourg33169854411357
7Lyon331661163461754
8Brest33155135253-150
9Lens33147123839-149
10Auxerre33119134748-142
11Rennes33132184946341
12Toulouse33109144141039
13Angers33106173251-1936
14Reims3389163245-1333
15NantesNantes33712143652-1633
16Le HavreLe Havre3394203769-3231
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3386193774-3730
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3344252376-5316


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!