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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Lille

Lorient
4 - 1
Lille

Abergel (9'), Ponceau (10'), Faivre (62'), Le Goff (67')
Pagis (49'), Doucoure (57')
FT(HT: 2-0)
David (55')
Yoro (15'), Diakite (27'), Andre (51'), Yazici (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Nice
Sunday, August 20 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Rijeka
Thursday, August 24 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Lorient 1-1 Lille

Although Lille remain unbeaten in 2023-24, Fonseca's side have not been overly convincing during the early stages of the season, relying on late goals to get results. Given that Lorient have recorded a couple of low-scoring draws this term - preventing PSG and Nice from winning - we can see the hosts picking up another point this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.41%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
LorientDrawLille
18.05% (0.231 0.23) 23.54% (0.277 0.28) 58.4% (-0.51 -0.51)
Both teams to score 46.84% (-0.391 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.45% (-0.746 -0.75)52.55% (0.745 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.79% (-0.645 -0.65)74.21% (0.643 0.64)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.95% (-0.16 -0.16)43.05% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.67% (-0.136 -0.14)79.33% (0.134 0.13)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.25% (-0.45399999999999 -0.45)17.74% (0.452 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.57% (-0.791 -0.79)48.42% (0.79 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 18.05%
    Lille 58.39%
    Draw 23.54%
LorientDrawLille
1-0 @ 6.44% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 4.69% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.71% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.14% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 18.05%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 7.64% (0.222 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 23.54%
0-1 @ 13.2% (0.19 0.19)
0-2 @ 11.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.63% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-3 @ 6.58% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-3 @ 5.55% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-4 @ 2.85% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.4% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-5 @ 0.98% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 58.39%

How you voted: Lorient vs Lille

Lorient
17.4%
Draw
43.5%
Lille
39.1%
23
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 29
Lille
3-1
Lorient
Cabella (13'), Zhegrova (89', 90+1')
Kone (77')
Oct 2, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 9
Lorient
2-1
Lille
Diakite (9' og.), Le Bris (87')
David (78')
Jan 19, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 20
Lille
3-1
Lorient
Lihadji (10'), Jenz (19' og.), Mandava (31')
Soumano (90+1')
Sep 10, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 5
Lorient
2-1
Lille
Lauriente (7'), Moffi (87')
Abergel (34'), Boisgard (90+1')
Yilmaz (25' pen.)
Gomes (44'), Xeka (90+2')
Feb 21, 2021 4.05pm
Gameweek 26
Lorient
1-4
Lille
Hergault (23')
Lemoine (61'), Monconduit (70')
Gravillon (21' og.), Fonte (38'), Ikone (59'), Bradaric (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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