Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.41%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Lille |
18.05% ( 0.23) | 23.54% ( 0.28) | 58.4% ( -0.51) |
Both teams to score 46.84% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.45% ( -0.75) | 52.55% ( 0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.79% ( -0.65) | 74.21% ( 0.64) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.95% ( -0.16) | 43.05% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.67% ( -0.14) | 79.33% ( 0.13) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.25% ( -0.45) | 17.74% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.57% ( -0.79) | 48.42% ( 0.79) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 1.32% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.75% Total : 18.05% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.54% | 0-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 11.41% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 6.58% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 5.55% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 2.85% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.45% Total : 58.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |