Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Lorient1 - 1Nice
We said: Lorient 2-2 Nice
Given that Lorient and Nice finished just three points apart in last season's Ligue 1 standings, we expect the two sides to share the spoils in an eventful encounter at the Stade du Moustoir. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Nice |
29.06% ( -0.07) | 26.18% ( 0.05) | 44.75% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.36% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.16% ( -0.24) | 52.84% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.54% ( -0.2) | 74.45% ( 0.2) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.15% ( -0.18) | 32.85% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.58% ( -0.2) | 69.42% ( 0.19) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.48% ( -0.1) | 23.52% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.44% ( -0.14) | 57.56% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
Lorient 29.06%
Nice 44.75%
Draw 26.17%
| Lorient | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.79% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 29.06% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.9% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 44.75% |
How you voted: Lorient vs Nice
Lorient
31.0%Draw
34.5%Nice
34.5%29
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 2pm
Oct 30, 2022 4.05pm
Sep 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 7
Lorient
1-0
Nice
Mar 14, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 29
Lorient
1-1
Nice
