Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Lorient1 - 1Nice
We said: Lorient 2-2 Nice
Given that Lorient and Nice finished just three points apart in last season's Ligue 1 standings, we expect the two sides to share the spoils in an eventful encounter at the Stade du Moustoir. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Nice |
29.06% ( -0.07) | 26.18% ( 0.05) | 44.75% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.36% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
