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Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Jan 17, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade de Gerland
Metz logo

Lyon
0 - 1
Metz


Dubois (27')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Leya Iseka (90')
Boye (27'), Centonze (27'), Kouyate (86'), Leya Iseka (90')

Preview: Lyon vs. Metz - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

League leaders Lyon host Metz in Ligue 1 on Sunday, with Rudi Garcia's side needing a win to hold off the chasing pack.

Metz, meanwhile, have failed to win their last three matches, but can move back into the top half of the table by causing an upset and avoiding defeat.


Match preview

Lyon's Jason Denayer celebrates with teammates after scoring against Rennes on January 9, 2021© Reuters

Given that they have remained unbeaten at home so far this season, Garcia will feel confident that his side can deliver the goods on Sunday.

His squad's morale will have been boosted even further too by last weekend's 2-2 draw at Rennes, with Jason Denayer's late equaliser salvaging a point after trailing 2-0 until Memphis Depay's 11th league strike of the season.

That point also ensured that Lyon stayed one point ahead of PSG and Lille in the table, with French football potentially having its most exciting title race since Monaco sensationally won the league in the 2016-17 campaign.

With Depay, Toko Ekambi and Tinotenda Kadewere all in rampant goalscoring form in Lyon's front three, Garcia's side look to have their best chance of winning Ligue 1 since the club last lifted the title in 2007-08, but there is a long way to go yet.

Metz goalkeeper Alexandre Oukidja pictured in September 2020© Reuters

Metz, meanwhile, are ticking along nicely this season under Frederic Antonetti, having amassed 25 points from 19 games.

Despite losing top goalscorer Ibrahima Niane to a potentially season-ending knee injury earlier in the campaign, Antonetti has helped keep his side comfortably clear of any relegation concerns.

However, there is no doubt that it has not been particularly pleasing on the eye, with Niane still sitting on twice as many goals (six) as any of his teammates despite having only played in the first six games of the season.

Indeed, Metz have only scored one goal in their last four games, which came via John Boye's late equaliser in last weekend's 1-1 draw against Nice, but they remain a very tough side to beat and will look to contain Lyon on Sunday.

Lyon Ligue 1 form: WDWWWD

Metz Ligue 1 form: DWWLDD


Team News

Lyon striker Moussa Dembele pictured in February 2020© Reuters

Lyon will remain without Moussa Dembele due to the forward's broken arm, although the former Celtic striker is not an automatic pick in Garcia's side these days in any case.

Bruno Guimaraes is also unavailable due to COVID-19, but otherwise Garcia appears to have a clean bill of health to choose from.

Metz, meanwhile, will not have Niane or Manuel Cabit available for the trip to Lyon, with neither player likely to play again this season after sustaining serious injuries.

Farid Boulaya and Opa Nguette are also both doubtful to travel to Lyon, leaving Antonetti's side woefully short of goals, with Kevin N'Doram and Matthieu Udol unlikely to recover from knocks.

Lyon possible starting lineup:
Lopes; De Sciglio, Marcelo, Denayer, Cornet; Paqueta, Mendes, Aouar; Kadewere, Depay, Ekambi

Metz possible starting lineup:
Oukidja; Centonze, Bronn, Kouyate, Boye, Delaine; Gueye, Maiga, Angban, Maziz; Leya


SM words green background

We say: Lyon 2-0 Metz

With Metz potentially missing their three top goalscorers, this should be a comfortable victory for Lyon.

While Garcia's side may have to remain patient in terms of finding the breakthrough, the amount of firepower they have in attack should ensure that the goal eventually comes, with Metz unlikely to be able to respond with any meaningful offensive threat.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 71.46%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Metz had a probability of 11.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Lyon vs Metz

Lyon
82.8%
Draw
13.8%
Metz
3.4%
58
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Lyon striker Moussa Dembele pictured in February 2020
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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