Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 53.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Metz had a probability of 21.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Metz |
53.43% | 24.62% | 21.94% |
Both teams to score 49.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48% | 52% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.26% | 73.74% |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.59% | 19.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.76% | 51.23% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.49% | 38.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.74% | 75.25% |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 12.25% 2-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 9.59% 3-0 @ 5.49% 3-1 @ 5.24% 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-0 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.91% Total : 53.43% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 7.47% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 7.13% 1-2 @ 5.58% 0-2 @ 3.4% 1-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.51% Total : 21.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
4 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
7 | NantesNantes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
8 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
10 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
11 | Lyon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
13 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 |
18 | Angers | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |