Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 63.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Nice had a probability of 17.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 1-0 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Nice win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Nice |
63.23% | 19.4% | 17.36% |
Both teams to score 59.16% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.43% | 35.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.38% | 57.62% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.26% | 10.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.31% | 34.69% |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.28% | 33.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.62% | 70.37% |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Nice |
2-1 @ 9.8% 2-0 @ 9.01% 1-0 @ 8.08% 3-1 @ 7.29% 3-0 @ 6.71% 4-1 @ 4.07% 3-2 @ 3.96% 4-0 @ 3.74% 4-2 @ 2.21% 5-1 @ 1.82% 5-0 @ 1.67% 5-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.89% Total : 63.23% | 1-1 @ 8.78% 2-2 @ 5.33% 0-0 @ 3.62% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.4% | 1-2 @ 4.77% 0-1 @ 3.93% 0-2 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.93% 1-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.85% Total : 17.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |