Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 66.08%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 14.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.01%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Nimes win it was 1-0 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.