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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de Gerland
Strasbourg

Lyon
1 - 2
Strasbourg

Lacazette (45+2' pen.)
Lovren (56')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Aholou (29'), Diallo (32')
Aholou (59'), Diallo (60'), Diarra (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 0-0 Lyon
Wednesday, January 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-2 Lens
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 1-1 Strasbourg

On paper, Lyon should not have any trouble defeating Strasbourg, but outside of Lacazette, no one on their team has been consistent from one match to the next. Racing looked more motivated versus Lens but overall have not shown that they can sustain early momentum throughout 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 63.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 16.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
LyonDrawStrasbourg
63.95% (0.238 0.24) 19.74% (-0.067 -0.07) 16.31% (-0.171 -0.17)
Both teams to score 55.55% (-0.15 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.82% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)39.18% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.49% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)61.51% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.39% (0.060000000000002 0.06)11.61% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.4% (0.131 0.13)36.6% (-0.131 -0.13)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.84% (-0.212 -0.21)37.16% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.05% (-0.214 -0.21)73.94% (0.214 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 63.95%
    Strasbourg 16.31%
    Draw 19.74%
LyonDrawStrasbourg
2-0 @ 10% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 7.18% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 7.11% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.87% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.83% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.67% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.65% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 63.95%
1-1 @ 9.2% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.31% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.74%
1-2 @ 4.55% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.27% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.11% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 16.31%

How you voted: Lyon vs Strasbourg

Lyon
72.7%
Draw
19.7%
Strasbourg
7.6%
66
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 6pm
Strasbourg
1-1
Lyon
Sissoko (20')
Aholou (68'), Ajorque (90+1'), Sissoko (90+1')
Toko Ekambi (90')
Dubois (90+1')
Sep 12, 2021 7.45pm
Lyon
3-1
Strasbourg
Dembele (8'), Denayer (64'), Paqueta (87')
Diomande (29'), Boateng (84')
Diallo (90+6' pen.)
Djiku (47')
Feb 6, 2021 6pm
Lyon
3-0
Strasbourg
Depay (20', 68'), Toko Ekambi (30')
Marcelo (41'), Diomande (61')

Thomasson (14'), Laurey (51')
Thomasson (14')
Oct 18, 2020 12pm
Strasbourg
2-3
Lyon
Diallo (44'), Aholou (55')
Ajorque (57'), Aholou (90+3')
Kadewere (12'), Toko Ekambi (25', 42')
Kadewere (20'), Cornet (45+1'), Toko Ekambi (52')
Feb 16, 2020 2pm
Lyon
1-1
Strasbourg
Traore (21')
Traore (41'), Aouar (79'), Dembele (90')
Zohi (42')
Kone (47')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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