Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 53.67%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 24.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Auxerre |
53.67% ( 0.04) | 22.24% ( -0.01) | 24.09% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 59.98% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.53% ( 0.01) | 39.47% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.19% ( 0.01) | 61.81% ( -0.01) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.25% ( 0.02) | 14.75% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.03% ( 0.03) | 42.97% ( -0.03) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.35% ( -0.02) | 29.64% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.31% ( -0.02) | 65.69% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Auxerre |
2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.37% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.01% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 53.67% | 1-1 @ 10.17% 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.37% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.31% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 24.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 34 |
2 | Marseille | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 29 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 29 |
4 | Lille | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 26 |
5 | Lyon | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 23 |
7 | Lens | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 23 |
8 | Auxerre | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 20 |
9 | Reims | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Toulouse | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Brest | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
13 | NantesNantes | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |