MX23RW : Wednesday, February 12 09:52:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
AJ Auxerre

Marseille
1 - 3
Auxerre

Greenwood (65' pen.)
Rabiot (60'), Greenwood (66'), Wahi (87')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Sinayoko (10'), Perrin (43'), Traore (45')
Leon (66'), Bair (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 1-2 Marseille
Sunday, November 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 4-0 Rennes
Sunday, November 3 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 3-1 Auxerre

Despite suffering from peculiarly poor home form so far, Marseille will again be big favourites ahead of this clash, and will look to take advantage of playing earlier to close the gap on PSG. Auxerre have not travelled well so far this season, and without two key defenders due to suspension, they could struggle to keep this impressive Marseille attack at bay. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 53.67%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 24.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawAuxerre
53.67% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 22.24% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 24.09% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 59.98% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.53% (0.012999999999998 0.01)39.47% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.19% (0.012 0.01)61.81% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.25% (0.018000000000001 0.02)14.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.03% (0.033000000000001 0.03)42.97% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.35% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)29.64% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.31% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)65.69% (0.026999999999987 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 53.67%
    Auxerre 24.09%
    Draw 22.24%
MarseilleDrawAuxerre
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 8.37% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.01% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 6.21% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.97% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.45% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.81% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 53.67%
1-1 @ 10.17%
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 6.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.23% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 24.09%

How you voted: Marseille vs Auxerre

Marseille
87.4%
Draw
10.5%
Auxerre
2.1%
143
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Marseille
2-1
Auxerre
Under (75'), Sanchez (77')
Toure (33')
Sep 3, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 6
Auxerre
0-2
Marseille

Jubal (39'), Furlan (54')
Gerson (8'), Sanchez (84')
Tudor (42'), Harit (90')
May 13, 2012 4pm
Aug 14, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG21165058203853
2Marseille21134445252043
3Nice21107441261537
4MonacoMonaco2111463728937
5Lille2198434221235
6Lyon2196636261033
7Lens219662520533
8Brest21101103336-331
9StrasbourgStrasbourg218673532330
10Toulouse217682324-127
11Auxerre216692935-624
12Rennes2172122930-123
13Angers2165102231-923
14Reims215792633-722
15NantesNantes214982432-821
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2153131945-2618
17Le HavreLe Havre2152141740-2317
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2143142048-2815


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