Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille0 - 3PSG
We said: Marseille 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain
With PSG winless during their last three away matches across Ligue 1 and the Champions League, Marseille should be quietly confident of earning a positive result on Sunday afternoon. That being said, after a respectable point versus PSV on the continent, we are expecting Les Parisiens to build some momentum by collecting three points this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
39.57% ( -0.89) | 23.29% ( -0) | 37.13% ( 0.89) |
| Both teams to score 64.16% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
