Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Oct 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Montpellier0 - 5Marseille
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Reims 4-2 Montpellier
Sunday, October 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, October 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Angers
Friday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Friday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
16
We said: Montpellier HSC 1-4 Marseille
Marseille have conceded in all of their last 25 away Ligue 1 games - the worst run of any team in Europe's top-five leagues - and a manager like De Zerbi will not be focusing on correcting that. However, with the talent they have in attack, the visitors should have enough to outscore a Montpellier side that has the worst defensive record in the division, and in doing so, return to winning ways. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Marseille |
29.71% ( -1.3) | 24.72% ( -0.22) | 45.57% ( 1.52) |
| Both teams to score 56.44% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
