Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 18.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.