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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Feb 28, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Lyon

Marseille
1 - 1
Lyon

Milik (44' pen.)
Kamara (64'), Payet (78'), Gonzalez (81'), Gueye (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Toko Ekambi (21')
Paqueta (42'), Mendes (78'), Depay (81')
Paqueta (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 22.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Marseille win it was 2-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawLyon
22.04%22.24%55.72%
Both teams to score 57.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.18%41.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.78%64.22%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.3%32.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.74%69.25%
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.11%14.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.76%43.24%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 22.04%
    Lyon 55.72%
    Draw 22.24%
MarseilleDrawLyon
2-1 @ 5.79%
1-0 @ 5.44%
2-0 @ 3.04%
3-1 @ 2.16%
3-2 @ 2.06%
3-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 22.04%
1-1 @ 10.36%
2-2 @ 5.52%
0-0 @ 4.87%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 9.87%
0-1 @ 9.27%
0-2 @ 8.83%
1-3 @ 6.27%
0-3 @ 5.61%
2-3 @ 3.5%
1-4 @ 2.99%
0-4 @ 2.67%
2-4 @ 1.67%
1-5 @ 1.14%
0-5 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 55.72%

How you voted: Marseille vs Lyon

Marseille
29.0%
Draw
16.1%
Lyon
54.8%
31
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 6
Lyon
1-1
Marseille
Aouar (28' pen.)
Guimaraes (86')
Payet (16')
Caleta-Car (4'), Bamba (45+4')
Payet (19')
Apr 19, 2020 8pm
Feb 12, 2020 8.05pm
Quarter-Finals
Lyon
1-0
Marseille
Aouar (81')
Tete (17'), Caqueret (89')

Strootman (37'), Sanson (49'), Sakai (69')
Nov 10, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 13
Marseille
2-1
Lyon
Payet (18' pen., 39')
Sarr (10'), Alvaro (46'), Rongier (83')
Alvaro (64')
Dembele (59')
May 12, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 36
Marseille
0-3
Lyon

Balotelli (31'), Amavi (34'), Strootman (87')
Caleta-Car (67')
Cornet (24', 86'), Dembele (84')
Terrier (21')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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