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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Le Havre

Marseille
3 - 0
Le Havre

Sangante (18' og.), Aubameyang (21'), Sarr (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)

N'Diaye (12'), Casimir (50')
N'Diaye (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 2-2 Brighton
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Le Havre 0-2 Lille
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 2-1 Le Havre

Marseille could be third-time lucky under Gattuso this weekend, with their wont for scoring under the Italian expected to get them over the line against Le Havre. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 19.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawLe Havre
58.63% (-0.681 -0.68) 21.78% (0.315 0.32) 19.59% (0.368 0.37)
Both teams to score 55.04% (-0.42700000000001 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.01% (-0.873 -0.87)42.99% (0.878 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.61% (-0.871 -0.87)65.39% (0.876 0.88)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.65% (-0.497 -0.5)14.35% (0.502 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.79% (-0.978 -0.98)42.2% (0.983 0.98)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.25% (-0.11999999999999 -0.12)35.74% (0.126 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.48% (-0.128 -0.13)72.52% (0.131 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 58.63%
    Le Havre 19.59%
    Draw 21.77%
MarseilleDrawLe Havre
1-0 @ 9.96% (0.206 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.67% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-0 @ 6.26% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.12% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-0 @ 3.04% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 58.63%
1-1 @ 10.24% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 5.13% (0.196 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.77%
0-1 @ 5.28% (0.185 0.19)
1-2 @ 5.27% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.71% (0.086 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.93% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 19.59%

How you voted: Marseille vs Le Havre

Marseille
77.1%
Draw
14.3%
Le Havre
8.6%
35
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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