Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Le Havre |
58.63% ( -0.68) | 21.78% ( 0.32) | 19.59% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 55.04% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.01% ( -0.87) | 42.99% ( 0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.61% ( -0.87) | 65.39% ( 0.88) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.65% ( -0.5) | 14.35% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.79% ( -0.98) | 42.2% ( 0.98) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.25% ( -0.12) | 35.74% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.48% ( -0.13) | 72.52% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Le Havre |
1-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.9% Total : 58.63% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.77% | 0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.84% Total : 19.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 29 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |