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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Marseille

Monaco
3 - 2
Marseille

Akliouche (8', 52'), Balogun (23')
Fofana (42'), Zakaria (59'), Matazo (76'), Magassa (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Ndiaye (1'), Gigot (18')
Correa (54'), Correa (59'), Clauss (73'), Rongier (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monaco 0-1 Nice
Friday, September 22 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 4-0 Marseille
Sunday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Monaco 3-1 Marseille

Having scored at least two goals in five of their six matches this season, Monaco will be confident of piling more pressure on Marseille, who will still be hurting after last weekend's thrashing against PSG. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Monaco win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawMarseille
36.34% (-0.156 -0.16) 24.79% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 38.86% (0.158 0.16)
Both teams to score 58.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.26% (0.0010000000000048 0)44.74% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.8% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)24.2% (0.086000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.46% (-0.121 -0.12)58.54% (0.12 0.12)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (0.082000000000008 0.08)22.88% (-0.081 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (0.119 0.12)56.62% (-0.119 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 36.34%
    Marseille 38.86%
    Draw 24.79%
MonacoDrawMarseille
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.86% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.57% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.89% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 36.34%
1-1 @ 11.58%
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.54%
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.79%
1-2 @ 8.55% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.17% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.02% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.2% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.98% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.96% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.09% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 38.86%

How you voted: Monaco vs Marseille

Monaco
70.6%
Draw
16.2%
Marseille
13.2%
68
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 20
Marseille
1-1
Monaco
Sanchez (47')
Veretout (17' og.)
Nov 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Monaco
2-3
Marseille
Ben Yedder (45' pen.), Volland (72')
Sanchez (35'), Veretout (83'), Kolasinac (90+7')
Mar 6, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Marseille
0-1
Monaco

Peres (53'), Sampaoli (82'), Kamara (90+1')
Martins (58')
Disasi (56')
Sep 11, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 5
Monaco
0-2
Marseille

Diop (23'), Tchouameni (49'), Aguilar (57'), Fofana (83')
Dieng (37', 60')
Sampaoli (15'), Kamara (16')
Jan 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 21
Monaco
3-1
Marseille
Maripan (47'), Tchouameni (75'), Jovetic (90+2')
Diatta (81'), Golovin (89'), Fofana (90+3')
Radonjic (12')
Balerdi (21'), Sakai (49'), Gonzalez (76'), Khaoui (82'), Gueye (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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