Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille2 - 2Brighton
The Match
Match Report
Brighton & Hove Albion fight back from two goals down to draw 2-2 with Marseille in their first-ever European away game.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Marseille and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Monaco 3-2 Marseille
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Aston Villa 6-1 Brighton
Saturday, September 30 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Saturday, September 30 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 37.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (5.38%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
38.79% ( -2.91) | 23.58% ( 0.19) | 37.63% ( 2.72) |
| Both teams to score 63.1% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
