Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Oceane
Le Havre0 - 2Lille
We said: Le Havre 1-1 Lille
Given that Le Havre have only lost one of their six matches this season, we expect Elsner's men to pick up another positive result on home soil, although Lille are expected to leave the Stade Oceane with a point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Le Havre | Draw | Lille |
27.4% ( -0.1) | 27.08% ( -0.02) | 45.52% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 47.69% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.94% ( 0.04) | 57.06% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.05% ( 0.03) | 77.95% ( -0.03) |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.59% ( -0.06) | 36.41% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.81% ( -0.06) | 73.19% ( 0.06) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75% ( 0.08) | 25% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.34% ( 0.11) | 59.66% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
Le Havre 27.4%
Lille 45.52%
Draw 27.08%
| Le Havre | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 27.4% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.08% | 0-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 45.52% |
How you voted: Le Havre vs Lille
Le Havre
35.7%Draw
32.1%Lille
32.1%28
