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Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Municipal Georges Lefevre
Marseille

PSG
4 - 0
Marseille

Hakimi (8'), Kolo (37'), Ramos (47', 89')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Gigot (73'), Veretout (82'), Lodi (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 2-0 Dortmund
Tuesday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajax 3-3 Marseille
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Marseille

 Given that 14 of the last 20 meetings between PSG and Marseille have produced at least three goals, Sunday's instalment of Le Classique will likely be a high-scoring affair. It is also worth noting that Marseille have managed to win just two of their previous 28 matches against PSG across all competitions, so we expect the hosts to claim the bragging rights once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMarseille
43.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 23.54% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 33.26% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 62.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.63% (0.021999999999998 0.02)39.36% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.3% (0.022999999999996 0.02)61.7% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)18.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.14% (0.010999999999996 0.01)49.86% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.59% (0.015000000000001 0.02)23.41% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.6% (0.024000000000001 0.02)57.39% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 43.2%
    Marseille 33.26%
    Draw 23.54%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMarseille
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.32% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.02%
3-2 @ 3.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.11%
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 43.2%
1-1 @ 10.63%
2-2 @ 6.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.35% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.76% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.54%
1-2 @ 7.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.32% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 4.59%
1-3 @ 3.74% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 3.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 33.26%

How you voted: PSG vs Marseille

Paris Saint-Germain
78.6%
Draw
12.5%
Marseille
8.9%
56
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Neymar (45+1')
> Preview
Apr 17, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
PSG
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Marseille
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Caleta-Car (31')
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> Preview
Oct 24, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Marseille
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PSG
Sampaoli (17'), Rongier (18')
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> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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