Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Municipal Georges Lefevre
PSG4 - 0Marseille
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PSG 2-0 Dortmund
Tuesday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Marseille
Given that 14 of the last 20 meetings between PSG and Marseille have produced at least three goals, Sunday's instalment of Le Classique will likely be a high-scoring affair. It is also worth noting that Marseille have managed to win just two of their previous 28 matches against PSG across all competitions, so we expect the hosts to claim the bragging rights once again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Marseille |
43.2% ( -0.01) | 23.54% ( -0) | 33.26% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 62.36% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
