Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Marseille |
39.56% | 26.73% | 33.7% |
Both teams to score 51.48% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.47% | 53.52% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.96% | 75.04% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.51% | 26.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.33% | 61.67% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.02% | 29.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.91% | 66.09% |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 8.44% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-0 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.2% Total : 39.56% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 7.94% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 9.56% 1-2 @ 7.66% 0-2 @ 5.76% 1-3 @ 3.07% 0-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.36% Total : 33.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Nice | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
6 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
7 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
9 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 12 |
15 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
16 | NantesNantes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
17 | Angers | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |