Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille2 - 0Nantes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Auxerre 3-0 Marseille
Saturday, February 22 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, February 22 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
50
Last Game: Nantes 3-1 Lens
Sunday, February 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, February 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
28
We said: Marseille 2-0 Nantes
Nantes are inconsistent, and their recent hammering at Monaco shows what can happen when it does go wrong for them. We do not expect it to be anywhere near as bad as that was, but this should be a relatively routine win for the hosts here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 72.17%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 11.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 3-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Marseille in this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Nantes |
72.17% ( 0.85) | 16.45% ( -0.29) | 11.39% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 53.51% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.97% ( -0.11) | 35.03% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.98% ( -0.12) | 57.03% ( 0.12) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.52% ( 0.16) | 8.48% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 70.59% ( 0.39) | 29.42% ( -0.39) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.47% ( -0.99) | 41.53% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.98% ( -0.88) | 78.03% ( 0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
Marseille 72.17%
Nantes 11.39%
Draw 16.45%
| Marseille | Draw | Nantes |
| 2-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.25)1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.05)5-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.9% Total : 72.17% | 1-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.45% | 1-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.38% Total : 11.39% |
How you voted: Marseille vs Nantes
Marseille
84.3%Draw
9.8%Nantes
5.9%51
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Marseille
2-0
Nantes
Sep 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 4
Nantes
1-1
Marseille
Feb 1, 2023 6pm
