Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 19, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille1 - 1Strasbourg
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Lille (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, January 14 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
Tuesday, January 14 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
Goals
for
for
39
We said: Marseille 3-1 Strasbourg
Home form has picked up after a dreadful start saw Marseille take just five points from their first five games at the Velodrome this season, and another success could be on the way. Strasbourg are in excellent form, but the teams they have beaten recently have not been on Marseille's level, and their 28-year wait for a win here is set to go on. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 55.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 22.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Strasbourg |
55.18% ( 0.08) | 22.63% ( -0.02) | 22.18% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.15% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.59% ( 0.02) | 43.41% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.19% ( 0.02) | 65.8% ( -0.03) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.38% ( 0.03) | 15.62% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.38% ( 0.07) | 44.61% ( -0.07) |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.54% ( -0.04) | 33.46% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.91% ( -0.04) | 70.09% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Marseille 55.18%
Strasbourg 22.18%
Draw 22.63%
| Marseille | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.7% 2-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 55.18% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 22.18% |
How you voted: Marseille vs Strasbourg
Marseille
86.0%Draw
8.8%Strasbourg
5.3%57
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 29, 2022 8pm
Form Guide
