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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 19, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Strasbourg

Marseille
1 - 1
Strasbourg

Emegha (23'), Greenwood (68' pen.)
Lirola (71'), Brassier (90+5'), Vaz (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Emegha (26'), Doue (28'), Lemarechal (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Lille (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, January 14 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Thaon 2-2 Strasbourg (3-5 pen.)
Wednesday, January 15 at 5.30pm in Coupe de France

We said: Marseille 3-1 Strasbourg

Home form has picked up after a dreadful start saw Marseille take just five points from their first five games at the Velodrome this season, and another success could be on the way. Strasbourg are in excellent form, but the teams they have beaten recently have not been on Marseille's level, and their 28-year wait for a win here is set to go on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 55.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 22.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawStrasbourg
55.18% (0.076999999999998 0.08) 22.63% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 22.18% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 56.15% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.59% (0.022999999999996 0.02)43.41% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.19% (0.024000000000001 0.02)65.8% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.38% (0.033000000000001 0.03)15.62% (-0.036 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.38% (0.067 0.07)44.61% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.54% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)33.46% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.91% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)70.09% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 55.18%
    Strasbourg 22.18%
    Draw 22.63%
MarseilleDrawStrasbourg
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 9.7%
2-0 @ 9.01% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.58% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.34% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.83% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.59% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 55.18%
1-1 @ 10.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.22% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.63%
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 22.18%

How you voted: Marseille vs Strasbourg

Marseille
86.0%
Draw
8.8%
Strasbourg
5.3%
57
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Strasbourg
1-0
Marseille
Moreira (40')
Rosenior (7'), Doukoure (56'), Doue (68')

Rabiot (75')
Jan 12, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 18
Marseille
1-1
Strasbourg
Gigot (3')
Meite (34'), Nadir (84'), Gigot (90+6')
Sebas (90+2')
Senaya (77'), Doukoure (90+6')
Nov 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Strasbourg
1-1
Marseille
Emegha (6')
Bakwa (89')
Clauss (27')
Lodi (54'), Veretout (90+1')
Mar 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Marseille
2-2
Strasbourg
Mbemba (49'), Sanchez (76' pen.)
Aholou (88', 89')
Oct 29, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 13
Strasbourg
2-2
Marseille
Mothiba (76'), Gameiro (90+2')
Dieng (8'), Kabore (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG27225079265371
2MonacoMonaco27155753332050
3Marseille27154854361849
4Nice27138651331847
5Lille27138641281347
6StrasbourgStrasbourg27137745351046
7Lyon27136852371545
8Brest27124114242040
9Lens27116103130139
10Auxerre2798103839-135
11Toulouse2797113533234
12Rennes27102153837132
13NantesNantes2769123146-1527
14Angers2776142645-1927
15Reims2768132941-1226
16Le HavreLe Havre2773172957-2824
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2655162663-3720
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2643192160-3915


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