MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 09:36:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2025 at 6pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Brest logo

Nantes
0 - 2
Brest


Douglas (66'), Chirivella (86'), Amian (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ajorque (9'), Lees-Melou (90+6')
Magnetti (36'), Bizot (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 1-2 Nantes
Sunday, February 2 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 1-2 Brest
Tuesday, February 4 at 6pm in Coupe de France

We said: Nantes 1-1 Brest

Brest beat Nantes in the last 32 of the Coupe recently, but with much focus now set to be on the upcoming Champions League playoff against PSG, manager Roy could be tempted to rotate, to the detriment of their chances here. Nantes have become draw specialists of late, and even though they earned a win against Reims last weekend, Brest should provide a sterner challenge in a rare draw for them - no club in Europe's top-10 leagues have drawn as few this season (one). Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
NantesDrawBrest
30.97% (-1.27 -1.27) 27.41% (0.119 0.12) 41.61% (1.142 1.14)
Both teams to score 48.59% (-0.791 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.18% (-0.80099999999999 -0.8)56.81% (0.794 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.25% (-0.649 -0.65)77.75% (0.642 0.64)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.47% (-1.314 -1.31)33.52% (1.307 1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.84% (-1.458 -1.46)70.15% (1.452 1.45)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.09% (0.245 0.25)26.9% (-0.251 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.77% (0.323 0.32)62.22% (-0.328 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 30.97%
    Brest 41.6%
    Draw 27.41%
NantesDrawBrest
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.07% (-0.244 -0.24)
2-0 @ 5.39% (-0.225 -0.23)
3-1 @ 2.58% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-0 @ 1.96% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 30.97%
1-1 @ 12.94% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.02% (0.271 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 11.83% (0.43 0.43)
1-2 @ 8.5% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 7.77% (0.339 0.34)
1-3 @ 3.72% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.4% (0.172 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 41.6%

How you voted: Nantes vs Brest

Nantes
38.3%
Draw
28.4%
Brest
33.3%
81
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2025 5.30pm
Round of 32
Brest
2-1
Nantes
Sima (24'), Chardonnet (34')
Balde (87'), Ndiaye (90+4')
Guirassy (82')
Dec 15, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 15
Brest
4-1
Nantes
Doumbia (24'), Chardonnet (27'), Sima (88', 90+3')
Chardonnet (15'), Magnetti (54'), Camara (76')
Douglas (48')
Castelletto (46'), Pallois (58'), Chirivella (60')
May 4, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 32
Brest
0-0
Nantes
Locko (21'), Lala (59'), Doumbia (87'), Doumbia (93')
Traore (54'), Chirivella (89')
Dec 17, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 16
Nantes
0-2
Brest

Lafont (78')
Magnetti (49'), Mounie (57')
Camara (28'), Le Douaron (86'), Satriano (90')
May 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Brest
2-0
Nantes
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG22175059203956
2Marseille22144450262446
3MonacoMonaco22124644291540
4Nice21107441261537
5Lille2198434221235
6Lyon2196636261033
7Lens219662520533
8Brest22102103538-332
9StrasbourgStrasbourg218673532330
10Toulouse227692325-227
11Auxerre226793137-625
12Rennes2172122930-123
13Angers2165102231-923
14Reims215792633-722
15NantesNantes224992539-1421
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2253142050-3018
17Le HavreLe Havre2152141740-2317
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2143142048-2815


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