Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Nantes3 - 1Lens
We said: Nantes 1-2 Lens
Both sides will be desperate for the victory to end their current losing runs, but with Lens boasting the superior squad and better form throughout the season, we believe the visitors will secure a narrow win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 54.11%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 20.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.61%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Lens |
20.88% ( 0.14) | 25.01% ( 0.03) | 54.11% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 47.06% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
