Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 67.11%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 14.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Marseille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Marseille.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Lorient |
67.11% ( 0.02) | 18.86% | 14.03% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.89% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.14% ( -0.03) | 39.86% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.78% ( -0.03) | 62.22% ( 0.03) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.03% ( -0) | 10.97% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.79% ( -0.01) | 35.21% ( 0.01) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.41% ( -0.04) | 40.59% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.81% ( -0.03) | 77.19% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Lorient |
2-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.22% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.43% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.99% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.96% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.76% ( -0) Other @ 4.17% Total : 67.11% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.86% | 0-1 @ 4.01% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.81% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 14.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
4 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
7 | NantesNantes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
8 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
10 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
11 | Lyon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
13 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 |
18 | Angers | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |