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Angers
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Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Marseille

Nice
1 - 0
Marseille

Guessand (79')
Dante (16'), Boga (24'), Boudaoui (56'), Moffi (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Balerdi (75'), Murillo (90+6')
Balerdi (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Metz 0-1 Nice
Saturday, October 7 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nice 1-1 Marseille

Nice have been excellent so far and are proving to be a frustrating side to come up against, but their previous two performances were not wholly convincing, and they must find another gear against better opposition here. Marseille simply do not win away, and that is unlikely to change against one of the league's most in-form sides, but they may well have enough to claim a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nice in this match.

Result
NiceDrawMarseille
41.18% (1.083 1.08) 26.14% (-0.253 -0.25) 32.68% (-0.83300000000001 -0.83)
Both teams to score 53.12% (0.581 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.69% (0.85 0.85)51.31% (-0.85299999999999 -0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.86% (0.739 0.74)73.14% (-0.73999999999999 -0.74)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.38% (0.95 0.95)24.62% (-0.952 -0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.87% (1.314 1.31)59.12% (-1.316 -1.32)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.46% (-0.12 -0.12)29.54% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.44% (-0.145 -0.14)65.56% (0.14399999999999 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Nice 41.18%
    Marseille 32.68%
    Draw 26.14%
NiceDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 10.19% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.153 0.15)
2-0 @ 7.14% (0.147 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.18 0.18)
3-0 @ 3.34% (0.158 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.102 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.099 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 41.18%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 7.27% (-0.251 -0.25)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 8.87% (-0.337 -0.34)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.41% (-0.223 -0.22)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.2% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 32.68%

How you voted: Nice vs Marseille

Nice
53.7%
Draw
27.8%
Marseille
18.5%
54
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Marseille
1-3
Nice
Diop (38'), Laborde (44'), Brahimi (85')
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 4
Nice
0-3
Marseille

Beka Beka (57')
Sanchez (10', 42'), Tavares (37')
Tavares (71')
Mar 20, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Marseille
2-1
Nice
Milik (45+3' pen.), Bakambu (89')
Caleta-Car (60'), Saliba (90+1')
Lemina (90+1')
Bard (45'), Lemina (90+2')
Feb 9, 2022 8.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Nice
4-1
Marseille
Gouiri (10'), Kluivert (29', 49'), Delort (61')
Kluivert (32'), Daniliuc (90')
Bard (3' og.)
Sampaoli (34'), Balerdi (40')
Oct 27, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 3
Nice
1-1
Marseille
Gouiri (6')
Guessand (31'), Todibo (90+2')
Payet (42')
Lopez (90+1'), Kamara (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
2Marseille18114340211937
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8Toulouse187471919025
9Brest188192831-325
10StrasbourgStrasbourg186663130124
11Auxerre186482428-422
12Angers186482127-622
13Reims185672426-221
14Rennes1852112427-317
15NantesNantes183872128-717
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1852111738-2117
17Le HavreLe Havre1841131437-2313
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512


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