Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9

Oct 21, 2023 at 8pm UK

Allianz Riviera

Nice
1 - 0
Marseille

Guessand (79')
Dante (16'), Boga (24'), Boudaoui (56'), Moffi (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Balerdi (75'), Murillo (90+6')
Balerdi (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions

Last Game: Metz 0-1 Nice
Saturday, October 7 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 3-0 Le Havre
Sunday, October 8 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nice have been excellent so far and are proving to be a frustrating side to come up against, but their previous two performances were not wholly convincing, and they must find another gear against better opposition here. Marseille simply do not win away, and that is unlikely to change against one of the league's most in-form sides, but they may well have enough to claim a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nice in this match.

Result
Nice	Draw	Marseille
41.18% ( 1.08)	26.14% ( -0.25)	32.68% ( -0.83)

Both teams to score 53.12% (

0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.69% (

0.85)

51.31% (

-0.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.86% (

0.74)

73.14% (

-0.74)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.38% (

0.95)

24.62% (

-0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.87% (

1.31)

59.12% (

-1.32)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.46% (

-0.12)

29.54% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.44% (

-0.14)

65.56% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Nice 41.18%

Marseille 32.68%

Draw 26.14%

Nice	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.65% Total : 41.18%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.14%	0-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.34) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.68%