Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26

Feb 27, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz
0 - 0
Nantes

Amadou (59')
Pajot (86')

Cyprien (40'), Traore (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

With these sides heading into their meeting on very different runs of form, we are predicting Nantes to come out on top here thanks to their high spirits following their successes in recent weeks. The hosts struggle to find the back of the net on so many occasions, and with Nantes boasting one of the meanest defences in Ligue 1, we are predicting a low-scoring encounter on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Metz had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Metz	Draw	Nantes
27.92%	26.42%	45.66%

Both teams to score 49.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.66%

54.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.28%

75.73%

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.48%

34.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.76%

71.24%

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.26%

23.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.12%

57.88%

Score Analysis

Metz 27.92%

Nantes 45.65%

Draw 26.42%

Metz	Draw	Nantes
1-0 @ 8.72% 2-1 @ 6.67% 2-0 @ 4.64% 3-1 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 1.7% 3-0 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.2% Total : 27.92%	1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 8.2% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.42%	0-1 @ 11.78% 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-2 @ 8.47% 1-3 @ 4.32% 0-3 @ 4.06% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.55% 0-4 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.69% Total : 45.65%