Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25

Feb 19, 2022 at 8pm UK

La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
3 - 1
PSG

Kolo (4'), Merlin (15'), Blas (45+5' pen.)
Castelletto (17'), Appiah (45+1')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Neymar (47')
Verratti (38'), Wijnaldum (45+4'), Neymar (50'), Mbappe (83'), Hakimi (90+1'), di Maria (90+2')

PSG's Marco Verratti handed one-game ban for referee outburst

Paris Saint-Germain midfielder Marco Verratti is slapped with a one-game ban following his outburst towards the officials in the 3-1 defeat to Nantes last month.

Mar 3, 10:51

Marco Verratti in action for Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) in October 2021

PSG's Marco Verratti at risk of five-game ban for referee comments?

Paris Saint-Germain's Marco Verratti could reportedly face a five-game ban due to comments made towards the officials after Saturday's 3-1 defeat to Nantes.

Feb 22, 17:46

Paris Saint-Germain's (PSG) Neymar during training on February 10, 2022

Watch: Neymar misses terrible penalty against Nantes

Neymar produces one of the worst penalty misses of his career during Paris Saint-Germain's Ligue 1 clash with Nantes on Saturday.

Feb 19, 21:32

The Match

We said: Nantes 2-3 Paris Saint-Germain

PSG will have exerted a lot of energy in their midweek Champions League showdown with Real Madrid, but they will still be strong favourites to come away with victory against Nantes. The hosts, meanwhile, cannot be underestimated and will likely cause problems for the league leaders in the final third. Nevertheless, the Parisian outfit should do enough to secure all three points from what should be an entertaining contest at the Stade de la Beaujoire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 67.11%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 13.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
13.65%	19.24%	67.11%

Both teams to score 50.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.51%

42.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.11%

64.89%

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.2%

42.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.88%

79.12%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.28%

11.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.15%

36.84%

Score Analysis

Nantes 13.65%

Paris Saint-Germain 67.1%

Draw 19.24%

Nantes	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 4.26% 2-1 @ 3.87% 2-0 @ 1.81% 3-2 @ 1.18% 3-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.45% Total : 13.65%	1-1 @ 9.13% 0-0 @ 5.02% 2-2 @ 4.15% Other @ 0.94% Total : 19.24%	0-2 @ 11.52% 0-1 @ 10.75% 1-2 @ 9.78% 0-3 @ 8.24% 1-3 @ 6.99% 0-4 @ 4.42% 1-4 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 2.97% 0-5 @ 1.89% 1-5 @ 1.61% 2-4 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.59% Total : 67.1%