Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 51.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Metz had a probability of 23.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Nice |
23.15% | 25.28% | 51.57% |
Both teams to score 49.06% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.61% | 53.38% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.08% | 74.92% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.88% | 38.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.12% | 74.88% |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.29% | 20.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.68% | 53.32% |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 7.61% 2-1 @ 5.78% 2-0 @ 3.67% 3-1 @ 1.86% 3-2 @ 1.46% 3-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.58% Total : 23.15% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 7.89% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 12.42% 0-2 @ 9.79% 1-2 @ 9.44% 0-3 @ 5.14% 1-3 @ 4.95% 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-4 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.95% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.52% Total : 51.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |