Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Roazhon Park
Rennes5 - 1Metz
We said: Rennes 3-1 Metz
Rennes have not recorded a draw in their last 37 Ligue 1 home games, while posting an impressive 29 wins in that period; in fact, their last home draw came on the opening matchday in 2021. That run should continue, as the hosts have far too much firepower for their promoted opponents to withstand - though they may concede a goal en route to victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Metz had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Metz |
48.85% ( -0.6) | 25.14% ( 0.28) | 26.01% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 52.36% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
