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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Jan 1, 2023 at 2pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
AJ Auxerre

Nantes
1 - 0
Auxerre

Coco (74')
Moutoussamy (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mensah (21'), Camara (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Troyes 0-0 Nantes
Wednesday, December 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 2-3 Monaco
Wednesday, December 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 1-0 Auxerre

As Auxerre do not travel well, it seems that Nantes are in prime position to claim maximum points from this bottom-four contest, which could be a tense encounter given both teams' current status. Therefore, a single goal could win it for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nantes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nantes.

Result
NantesDrawAuxerre
48.15% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 23.98% (0.099 0.1) 27.88% (-0.119 -0.12)
Both teams to score 57.69% (-0.433 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.83% (-0.529 -0.53)44.18% (0.53599999999999 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.45% (-0.517 -0.52)66.55% (0.523 0.52)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.53% (-0.193 -0.19)18.48% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.33% (-0.33 -0.33)49.68% (0.338 0.34)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)29.24% (0.365 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81% (-0.443 -0.44)65.2% (0.45099999999999 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 48.15%
    Auxerre 27.88%
    Draw 23.97%
NantesDrawAuxerre
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 9.12% (0.154 0.15)
2-0 @ 7.7% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.34% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 48.15%
1-1 @ 11.21% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.125 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.97%
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.64% (0.087 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.08% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 27.88%

How you voted: Nantes vs Auxerre

Nantes
71.4%
Draw
16.3%
Auxerre
12.2%
49
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2013 7.55pm
Fourth Round
Nantes
1-0
Auxerre
Aristeguieta (75')
Deaux (81')
rhs 2.0
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Lions
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG65102051516
2MonacoMonaco6510123916
3Marseille6411157813
4Reims6321108211
5Lille6312117410
6Lens624052310
7NantesNantes62319639
8StrasbourgStrasbourg6231121029
9Nice622214688
10Rennes621310917
11Lyon6213812-47
12Auxerre6204812-46
13Brest6204813-56
14Le HavreLe Havre6204713-66
15Toulouse612358-35
16Montpellier HSCMontpellier6114617-114
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne6114317-144
18Angers6024412-82


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