Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nantes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nantes.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Auxerre |
48.15% ( 0.03) | 23.98% ( 0.1) | 27.88% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 57.69% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.83% ( -0.53) | 44.18% ( 0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.45% ( -0.52) | 66.55% ( 0.52) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.53% ( -0.19) | 18.48% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.33% ( -0.33) | 49.68% ( 0.34) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.76% ( -0.36) | 29.24% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.81% ( -0.44) | 65.2% ( 0.45) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Auxerre |
2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.44% Total : 48.15% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.37% Total : 27.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 37 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |