Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 21.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
53.74% ( 0.01) | 24.27% ( -0.01) | 21.99% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 50.65% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.42% ( 0.04) | 50.58% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.51% ( 0.04) | 72.49% ( -0.04) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.25% ( 0.02) | 18.75% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.86% ( 0.04) | 50.13% ( -0.03) |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.34% ( 0.02) | 37.66% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.57% ( 0.02) | 74.43% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
1-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.89% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.52% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 53.73% | 1-1 @ 11.54% 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.27% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.64% 0-2 @ 3.37% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.62% Total : 21.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 48 | 16 | 32 | 46 |
2 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
7 | Lens | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Brest | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 25 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 24 |
11 | Auxerre | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Reims | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
14 | Rennes | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 17 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |