Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 21.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
53.74% ( 0.01) | 24.27% ( -0.01) | 21.99% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 50.65% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.42% ( 0.04) | 50.58% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.51% ( 0.04) | 72.49% ( -0.04) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.25% ( 0.02) | 18.75% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.86% ( 0.04) | 50.13% ( -0.03) |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.34% ( 0.02) | 37.66% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.57% ( 0.02) | 74.43% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
1-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.89% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.52% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 53.73% | 1-1 @ 11.54% 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.27% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.64% 0-2 @ 3.37% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.62% Total : 21.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 14 |
4 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
7 | NantesNantes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
8 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
10 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
11 | Lyon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
13 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 |
18 | Angers | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |