Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Nice had a probability of 25.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Nice |
50.37% ( -0.12) | 24.53% ( 0.13) | 25.1% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.4% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.31% ( -0.57) | 48.69% ( 0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.2% ( -0.52) | 70.8% ( 0.51) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.65% ( -0.27) | 19.34% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.87% ( -0.45) | 51.12% ( 0.44) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.2% ( -0.32) | 33.79% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.54% ( -0.35) | 70.46% ( 0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.02% Total : 50.36% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.53% | 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 25.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 29 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |