Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Nice had a probability of 25.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Nice |
50.37% ( -0.12) | 24.53% ( 0.13) | 25.1% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.4% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.31% ( -0.57) | 48.69% ( 0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.2% ( -0.52) | 70.8% ( 0.51) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.65% ( -0.27) | 19.34% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.87% ( -0.45) | 51.12% ( 0.44) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.2% ( -0.32) | 33.79% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.54% ( -0.35) | 70.46% ( 0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.02% Total : 50.36% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.53% | 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 25.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |