MX23RW : Friday, January 17 22:48:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Ferdi Petit
Nice

Lens
0 - 0
Nice


Frankowski (53'), Zaroury (67'), Still (84')
Zaroury (84')
FT

Abdelmonem (28'), Dante (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Lens
Saturday, September 21 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-1 Real Sociedad
Wednesday, September 25 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Lens 0-0 Nice

Lens' run of draws will not go on forever, but the likeliest outcome is a fourth-straight stalemate here, with little to separate the sides, and the hosts performing very impressively in defence of late. Unfortunately for Nice, they cannot play Saint Etienne every week, and they will find it difficult to break down a side yet to concede a home goal this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Nice had a probability of 25.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.

Result
LensDrawNice
50.37% (-0.122 -0.12) 24.53% (0.131 0.13) 25.1% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.4% (-0.434 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.31% (-0.567 -0.57)48.69% (0.564 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.2% (-0.517 -0.52)70.8% (0.512 0.51)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.65% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)19.34% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.87% (-0.446 -0.45)51.12% (0.44 0.44)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.2% (-0.31800000000001 -0.32)33.79% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.54% (-0.346 -0.35)70.46% (0.342 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Lens 50.36%
    Nice 25.1%
    Draw 24.53%
LensDrawNice
1-0 @ 10.73% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.82% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 50.36%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.54% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.53%
0-1 @ 7.09% (0.104 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.32% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.85% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 25.1%

How you voted: Lens vs Nice

Lens
35.1%
Draw
45.9%
Nice
18.9%
37
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 26
Lens
1-3
Nice
Wahi (76')
Aguilar (37'), Frankowski (62'), Khusanov (65'), Thomasson (89')
Moffi (11', 67'), Thuram (53')
Thuram (40'), Perraud (46'), Rosario (78')
Dec 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Nice
2-0
Lens
Moffi (76' pen., 78')
Lotomba (26'), Dante (90+5')

Khusanov (88'), Guilavogui (90+7')
Feb 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Lens
0-1
Nice
Laborde (57')
Dec 29, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Nice
0-0
Lens
Apr 10, 2022 4.05pm
Gameweek 31
Lens
3-0
Nice
Kalimuendo (51', 67'), Doucoure (55')
Haise (18'), Doucoure (31'), Sotoca (66')
Haidara (17')

Guessand (38'), Gouiri (45+3'), Lemina (50')
Lemina (57'), Dante (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG17134046153143
2Marseille17113339201936
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon178452922728
7Lens177642116527
8Toulouse177371919024
9StrasbourgStrasbourg176563029123
10Auxerre176472426-222
11Brest177192630-422
12Reims175572325-220
13Angers175481927-819
14Rennes1752102325-217
15NantesNantes173772027-716
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1751111637-2116
17Le HavreLe Havre1740131336-2312
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512


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