Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
We said: Nantes 1-2 Reims
Nantes have enjoyed a positive start to the season; however, their defensive record is a major concern. Reims have scored at least once in every league match they have played this season, and against a leaky defence in this one, we fancy the visitors to come away with the points.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 44.56% . A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.4% .
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.03%) . The likeliest Nantes win was 2-1 (7.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%) . The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
Result Nantes Draw Reims 31.05% ( 0.01) 24.39% ( 0) 44.56% ( -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.29% ( -0.01)
55.72% ( -0.01) 44.28% ( 0.02)
33.35% ( -0.01) 66.65% ( 0.02)
72.87% 27.12% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 37.48% ( -0) 62.51% ( 0)
79.99% ( -0.01) 20.01% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 47.8% ( -0.02) 52.2% ( 0.02)
Nantes 31.05%
Reims 44.56%
Draw 24.39%
Nantes Draw Reims 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.08% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.62% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.6% 3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.05% 1-1 @ 11.39% 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.39% 1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.03% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.92% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.98% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 44.56%
How you voted: Nantes vs Reims
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rhs 2.0
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