Coupe de France | Final

Apr 29, 2023 at 8pm UK

La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
1 - 5
Toulouse

Blas (75' pen.)
Victor (26'), Pallois (38'), Descamps (43')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Costa (4', 10'), Dallinga (23', 31'), Aboukhlal (79')
Dejaegere (58'), Desler (88')

The Match

Match Report

Toulouse win the Coupe de France for the first time in their history with a 5-1 thrashing of defending champions Nantes at the Stade de France.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Coupe de France clash between Nantes and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions

Coupe de France

Last Game: Nantes 2-2 Troyes
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toulouse

All competitions

Coupe de France

Last Game: Lorient 0-1 Toulouse
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Nantes win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Toulouse
36.6% ( -0.02)	24.3% ( -0.02)	39.1% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 60.31% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.65% (

0.07)

42.35% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.24% (

0.06)

64.76% (

-0.06)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.03% (

0.02)

22.97% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.24% (

0.03)

56.76% (

-0.02)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.29% (

0.05)

21.7% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.14% (

0.07)

54.86% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Nantes 36.6%

Toulouse 39.1%

Draw 24.29%

Nantes	Draw	Toulouse
2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 36.6%	1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.29%	1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.82% 1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 39.1%