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Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
Nantes

Lille
2 - 1
Nantes

David (51' pen., 88' pen.)
Balepa (44'), David (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Merlin (17')
Castelletto (36'), Victor (79'), Mohamed (86'), Blas (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 2-1 Marseille
Saturday, May 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 2-0 Nantes

With both sides in need of a result at the back end of the campaign, we certainly anticipate a competitive encounter but expect Fonseca's side to have too much quality for their struggling visitors and take all three points on home turf as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 73.29%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 9.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.77%) and 3-0 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawNantes
73.29% (1.098 1.1) 17.05% (-0.554 -0.55) 9.66% (-0.5451 -0.55)
Both teams to score 44.59% (-0.235 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.77% (0.85400000000001 0.85)43.23% (-0.855 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.37% (0.839 0.84)65.63% (-0.839 -0.84)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.69% (0.509 0.51)10.31% (-0.509 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.26% (1.147 1.15)33.73% (-1.147 -1.15)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.71% (-0.546 -0.55)50.28% (0.545 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.14% (-0.378 -0.38)84.85% (0.378 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Lille 73.28%
    Nantes 9.66%
    Draw 17.05%
LilleDrawNantes
2-0 @ 13.38% (0.08 0.08)
1-0 @ 11.77% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-0 @ 10.13% (0.266 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.97% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
4-0 @ 5.76% (0.273 0.27)
4-1 @ 3.96% (0.128 0.13)
5-0 @ 2.62% (0.177 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.8% (0.096 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.023 0.02)
6-0 @ 0.99% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 73.28%
1-1 @ 8.1% (-0.261 -0.26)
0-0 @ 5.18% (-0.198 -0.2)
2-2 @ 3.16% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 17.05%
0-1 @ 3.56% (-0.194 -0.19)
1-2 @ 2.78% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-2 @ 1.23% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 9.66%

How you voted: Lille vs Nantes

Lille
77.3%
Draw
13.6%
Nantes
9.1%
22
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2022 8pm
gameweek 2
Nantes
1-1
Lille
Simon (28')
Girotto (90')
Ismaily (76')
Zedadka (14'), Djalo (18'), Fonte (18'), Andre (37')
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
gameweek 29
Nantes
0-1
Lille

Moutoussamy (53'), Blas (81'), Da Silva (86')
Onana (41')
Xeka (15'), Andre (64'), Bamba (79'), Bradaric (86')
Weah (64')
Nov 27, 2021 4pm
gameweek 15
Lille
1-1
Nantes
Yilmaz (9')
Onana (62')
Blas (24')
Girotto (21'), Blas (48')
Da Silva (78')
Feb 7, 2021 4pm
gameweek 24
Nantes
0-2
Lille

Coco (29'), Corchia (31'), Louza (32')
David (9', 83')
Sep 25, 2020 8pm
gameweek 5
Lille
2-0
Nantes
Pallois (43' og.), Yilmaz (87' pen.)

Appiah (85'), Girotto (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille126421911822
5Lyon125431916319
6Auxerre126152119219
7Reims125342016418
8Nice1145221111017
9Lens124531312117
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Rennes123271319-611
15NantesNantes112451417-310
16Angers122461321-810
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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