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Angers
AJ Auxerre
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Toulouse
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Ligue 1
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadium Municipal
AJ Auxerre

Toulouse
1 - 1
Auxerre

Aboukhlal (44')
Spierings (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Raveloson (24')
Jubal (2'), Massengo (18'), Abline (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 0-0 Toulouse
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Auxerre

All competitions
Last Game: Auxerre 1-2 PSG
Sunday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 2-0 Auxerre

 In spite of their recent attacking failures, Toulouse's build-up play will be boosted greatly by the expected return of Van den Boomen, and Auxerre are not exactly the masters of keeping things tight at the back against the Coupe de France holders. Pelissier's side have rarely been blown away in 2023, though, and victory could secure survival for the visitors if results elsewhere go in their favour, but we cannot see any surprises being sprung against a sturdy Toulouse backline as the fight for survival goes right down to the wire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
ToulouseDrawAuxerre
50.29% (-0.239 -0.24) 24.58% (-0.026 -0.03) 25.13% (0.265 0.27)
Both teams to score 53.27% (0.346 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.13% (0.33000000000001 0.33)48.86% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.04% (0.297 0.3)70.96% (-0.297 -0.3)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.55% (0.033000000000001 0.03)19.44% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.71% (0.051000000000002 0.05)51.29% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.13% (0.40299999999999 0.4)33.86% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.46% (0.433 0.43)70.53% (-0.434 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 50.29%
    Auxerre 25.13%
    Draw 24.57%
ToulouseDrawAuxerre
1-0 @ 10.78% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.82% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 50.29%
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.054 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.86% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.039 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 25.13%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Auxerre

Toulouse
73.3%
Draw
20.0%
Auxerre
6.7%
30
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2023 6pm
gameweek 18
Auxerre
0-5
Toulouse

Niang (43'), Mensah (55'), Jubal (88')
Chaibi (4'), Rouault (33'), Van den Boomen (41' pen.), Aboukhlal (75'), Dallinga (88')
Sylla (44')
Mar 19, 2022 2pm
gameweek 30
Auxerre
1-2
Toulouse
Dugimont (71')
Pellenard (42')
Charbonnier (38')
Van den Boomen (33' pen., 41')
Spierings (9')
Oct 16, 2021 2pm
gameweek 12
Toulouse
6-0
Auxerre
Healey (4', 72'), Ratao (7', 46'), Mvoue (24'), Nicolaisen (84')
Genreau (44')

Dugimont (49')
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
gameweek 23
Auxerre
3-1
Toulouse
Dugimont (4', 77'), N'Gando (42')
Bernard (90+2')
Healey (90+3' pen.)
Healey (80'), Machado (88')
Sep 26, 2020 2pm
gameweek 5
Toulouse
3-1
Auxerre
Van den Boomen (69' pen.), Moreira (86'), Healey (90+3')
van den Boomen (43'), Moreira (90+2')
Le Bihan (58')
Sakhi (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG25205070244665
2Marseille25154652302249
3Nice25137549301946
4MonacoMonaco25135749321744
5Lille25128540271344
6Lyon25126746311542
7StrasbourgStrasbourg2511773932740
8Lens2510693029136
9Brest25113113840-236
10Toulouse259793227534
11Auxerre2587103638-231
12Rennes2592143536-129
13Angers2576122640-1427
14NantesNantes2559112843-1524
15Reims2557132640-1422
16Le HavreLe Havre2563162451-2721
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2555152557-3220
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2543182159-3815
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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