Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Nice had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.