Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.