Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
Apr 23, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
We said: Montpellier HSC 0-2 Rennes
Despite struggling to maintain their initial hot streak under Der Zakarian, Montpellier have consistently posed a threat in the final third - not that it may count for much against a reinvigorated Rennes crop, though.
Genesio's side limited Reims to a mere five shots last weekend and found the formula for defensive success on the road before being downed by Lyon, so we can envisage Genesio's side remaining on the coat-tails of the top five with a straightforward success.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 44.41% . A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.2% .
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.88%) . The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (7.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood .
Result Montpellier HSC Draw Rennes 31.36% ( -0.39) 24.23% ( -0.26) 44.41% ( 0.66)
Both teams to score 59.04% ( 0.73)
56.63% ( 1.04) 43.37% ( -1.04)
34.23% ( 1.02) 65.77% ( -1.01)
73.52% ( 0.26) 26.48% ( -0.26)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 38.33% ( 0.34) 61.67% ( -0.34)
80.3% ( 0.72) 19.7% ( -0.72)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 48.3% ( 1.15) 51.71% ( -1.15)
Montpellier HSC 31.36%
Rennes 44.41%
Draw 24.23%
Montpellier HSC Draw Rennes 2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.36% 1-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.23% 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.95% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.07% Total : 44.41%
How you voted: Montpellier vs Rennes
Montpellier HSC
Draw
Rennes
38
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-02 06:17:34
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