Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.19%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 26.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Nimes win it was 1-0 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.