Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 88.34%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Angers had a probability of 3.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.64%), while for an Angers win it was 1-2 (1.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Angers |
88.34% ( 0.01) | 7.96% ( -0.01) | 3.7% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 47.24% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
78.45% ( 0.06) | 21.55% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
59.73% ( 0.08) | 40.27% ( -0.08) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.96% ( 0.01) | 3.04% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
86.33% ( 0.03) | 13.67% ( -0.03) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.72% ( 0.07) | 51.27% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.47% ( 0.04) | 85.53% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Angers |
3-0 @ 11.07% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.4% ( 0) 5-0 @ 6.76% ( 0) 4-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.36% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 3.93% ( 0) 6-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 7-0 @ 1.96% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.51% ( 0) 7-1 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 5.18% Total : 88.33% | 1-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.12% ( 0) 0-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.64% Total : 7.96% | 1-2 @ 1.22% 0-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 1.45% Total : 3.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
4 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
7 | NantesNantes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
8 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
10 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
11 | Lyon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
13 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 |
18 | Angers | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |