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Angers
AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Lille
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Marseille
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Montpellier
Nantes
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Rennes
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 12pm UK
Parc des Princes
AJ Auxerre

PSG
5 - 0
Auxerre

Mbappe (11'), Soler (51'), Hakimi (57'), Sanches (81'), Ekitike (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Auxerre.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Paris Saint-Germain could line up for Sunday's Ligue 1 clash with Lorient.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Auxerre
Friday, November 4 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-0 Auxerre

The expected return of Messi should increase PSG's creative output tenfold, and a Galtier squad almost at full-strength should have far too much for Auxerre on Sunday lunchtime. The visitors have made a solid, if yet unspectacular start to life under Pelissier and should not ship goals at will, but the gulf in class between the two squads will show at some point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 77.51%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 9.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.69%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.78%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawAuxerre
77.51% (0.067999999999998 0.07) 13.32% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06) 9.17% (-0.019 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.88% (0.185 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.19% (0.23700000000001 0.24)25.81% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.03% (0.307 0.31)45.97% (-0.314 -0.31)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.61% (0.055999999999997 0.06)5.38% (-0.063 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.88% (0.17400000000001 0.17)21.11% (-0.181 -0.18)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.17% (0.155 0.16)38.83% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.44% (0.145 0.15)75.56% (-0.15299999999999 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 77.51%
    Auxerre 9.17%
    Draw 13.32%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawAuxerre
2-0 @ 8.92% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 8.69% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 8.22% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
4-0 @ 6.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 6.11% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
4-1 @ 6.01% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.89% (0.019 0.02)
5-0 @ 3.71% (0.015 0.02)
5-1 @ 3.51% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.84% (0.025 0.03)
6-0 @ 1.81% (0.014 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.71% (0.021 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.66% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 5.65%
Total : 77.51%
1-1 @ 5.78% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.99% (0.004 0)
0-0 @ 2.09% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 13.32%
1-2 @ 2.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 1.98% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.006 0.01)
0-2 @ 0.94% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 9.17%

How you voted: PSG vs Auxerre

Paris Saint-Germain
92.8%
Draw
1.4%
Auxerre
5.8%
69
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2012 3pm
Dec 4, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon125431916319
6Reims125342016418
7Nice1145221111017
8Lens124531312117
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Rennes113261318-511
15NantesNantes112451417-310
16Angers112451320-710
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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