There was a lot on the line when these two met in the Europa League group stage in 2011-12, with Salzburg's 3-1 home win late in the section helping them edge PSG out, but it is tough to see a repeat scoreline here given their disastrous season so far.
Despite their own troubles, PSG have the talent to dominate proceedings, and if they can rediscover their shooting boots, then three points will be theirs to relieve some pressure on manager Enrique.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
0.07) 
-0.07) 
