MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 05:57:14| >> :120:12957:12957:
Champions League header

Champions League
Red Bull Salzburg
Champions League | League Stage
Dec 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Red Bull Arena
PSG logo

Salzburg
0 - 3
PSG


Guindo (35'), Gourna-Douath (53'), Capaldo (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ramos (30'), Mendes (72'), Doue (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Red Bull Salzburg and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Salzburg 2-2 Rapid Vienna
Saturday, December 7 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Auxerre 0-0 PSG
Friday, December 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Red Bull Salzburg 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

 There was a lot on the line when these two met in the Europa League group stage in 2011-12, with Salzburg's 3-1 home win late in the section helping them edge PSG out, but it is tough to see a repeat scoreline here given their disastrous season so far. Despite their own troubles, PSG have the talent to dominate proceedings, and if they can rediscover their shooting boots, then three points will be theirs to relieve some pressure on manager Enrique. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Red Bull SalzburgDrawParis Saint-Germain
25.97% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 21.92% (0.0010000000000012 0) 52.11% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Both teams to score 63.28% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.95% (0.042000000000002 0.04)36.05% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.85% (0.044999999999995 0.04)58.15% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.63% (0.070999999999998 0.07)26.37% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.48% (0.094000000000001 0.09)61.52% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)14.06% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.35% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)41.65% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Red Bull Salzburg 25.97%
    Paris Saint-Germain 52.11%
    Draw 21.92%
Red Bull SalzburgDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 6.46% (0.011 0.01)
1-0 @ 4.94%
2-0 @ 3.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.46% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 25.97%
1-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 6.34% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.92%
1-2 @ 9.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.28% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.22% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.67% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 3.05% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 2.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 2.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-5 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
3-4 @ 0.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 52.11%

How you voted: Salzburg vs PSG

Red Bull Salzburg
13.0%
Draw
11.0%
Paris Saint-Germain
76.0%
154
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255
> Premier League Full Table


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