We said: Angers 0-3 Paris Saint-Germain
With 16 wins in a row against their upcoming opponents, PSG have been handed the perfect fixture to respond to the midweek debacle, and three points are almost a given. Many will be expecting a home defeat, so Angers may be prioritising the important games they have on the horizon after the international break against Auxerre and Le Havre. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Angers had a probability of 17.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for an Angers win it was 2-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Angers | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
17.5% ( -0.37) | 20.66% ( -0.13) | 61.84% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 54.89% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.72% ( -0.03) | 41.27% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.33% ( -0.03) | 63.67% ( 0.02) |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.97% ( -0.44) | 37.02% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.19% ( -0.44) | 73.81% ( 0.44) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.17% ( 0.14) | 12.83% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.82% ( 0.28) | 39.17% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Angers | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.39% Total : 17.5% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.66% | 0-2 @ 10.01% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.95% ( -0)0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 6.85% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 6.81% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 3.52% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 3.5% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.45% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.44% Total : 61.83% |
