Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.29%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 10.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.26%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Nantes |
74.29% ( 0.12) | 15.57% ( -0.01) | 10.14% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 52.13% ( -0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.52% ( -0.33) | 34.48% ( 0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.59% ( -0.38) | 56.41% ( 0.37) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.1% ( -0.06) | 7.89% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.06% ( -0.14) | 27.94% ( 0.13) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.6% ( -0.45) | 43.4% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.37% ( -0.38) | 79.63% ( 0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Nantes |
2-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 1.28% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.06% Total : 74.29% | 1-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 15.57% | 1-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 10.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |