Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14

Dec 3, 2023 at 12pm UK

Stade Oceane

Le Havre
0 - 2
PSG

Operi (68'), Alioui (76')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mbappe (23'), Vitinha (89')
Pereira (87')
Donnarumma (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: Nantes 0-0 Le Havre
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 1-1 Newcastle
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Le Havre 0-2 Paris Saint-Germain

Le Havre's Ligue 1 foundations this term have been built on a rigid defensive structure, but even with Casimir and Bayo making welcome returns to the fold, their attacking concerns are still alive and well. A depleted PSG backline should have no trouble keeping their shot-shy hosts at arm's length, and with a taste for goals in domestic action, Enrique's men ought to prevail with ease to remain in control of their title destiny. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 19.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.15%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.

Result
Le Havre	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
19.34% ( 1)	22.35% ( 0.57)	58.32% ( -1.57)

Both teams to score 52.7% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.13% (

-0.97)

45.87% (

0.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.82% (

-0.92)

68.18% (

0.92)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.31% (

0.53)

37.69% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.53% (

0.52)

74.46% (

-0.52)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.58% (

-0.83)

15.42% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.76% (

-1.58)

44.24% (

1.58)

Score Analysis

Le Havre 19.34%

Paris Saint-Germain 58.31%

Draw 22.35%

Le Havre	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.47% Total : 19.34%	1-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.35%	0-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 10.15% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 6.33% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 6.18% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.96% ( -0.23) 1-4 @ 2.89% ( -0.18) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.12) 1-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.43% Total : 58.31%