Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Le Havre |
38.94% ( 0.08) | 25.8% ( 0.05) | 35.25% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 54.81% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.61% ( -0.24) | 49.38% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.57% ( -0.22) | 71.43% ( 0.21) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.08% ( -0.07) | 24.92% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.45% ( -0.09) | 59.54% ( 0.09) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73% ( -0.19) | 26.99% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.65% ( -0.25) | 62.34% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Le Havre |
1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 38.94% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 8 | 21 | 26 |
2 | Marseille | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 18 |
5 | Nice | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
6 | Lyon | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
7 | Lens | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
8 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Auxerre | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Brest | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Rennes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 30 | -22 | 4 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |