Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Clermont | 38 | -31 | 36 |
18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Marseille | 38 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
4 | Nice | 38 | 16 | 67 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 51.72%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Monaco |
24.71% | 23.57% | 51.72% |
Both teams to score 56.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.11% | 44.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.75% | 67.25% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.93% | 32.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.46% | 68.54% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.62% | 17.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.21% | 47.79% |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 6.34% 2-1 @ 6.31% 2-0 @ 3.6% 3-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2.09% 3-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.62% Total : 24.71% | 1-1 @ 11.09% 0-0 @ 5.57% 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.57% | 0-1 @ 9.75% 1-2 @ 9.71% 0-2 @ 8.53% 1-3 @ 5.66% 0-3 @ 4.98% 2-3 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 2.48% 0-4 @ 2.18% 2-4 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.81% Total : 51.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 25 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 70 | 24 | 46 | 65 |
2 | Marseille | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 49 |
3 | Nice | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 46 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Lille | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Lyon | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 40 |
8 | Lens | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 36 |
9 | Brest | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 36 |
10 | Toulouse | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 34 |
11 | Auxerre | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Rennes | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 29 |
13 | Angers | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 27 |
14 | NantesNantes | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 24 |
15 | Reims | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 22 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 21 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 20 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |