Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29

Mar 18, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

St Etienne
1 - 1
Troyes

Boudebouz (67' pen.)
Mangala (62'), Khazri (69')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mothiba (18')
Chavalerin (65'), Palmer-Brown (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Saint-Etienne and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint-Etienne

Last Six:

Last Game: St Etienne 1-1 Auxerre (4-5 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1 Playoffs

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Clermont	38	-31	36
18	Saint-Etienne	38	-35	32
19	Metz	38	-34	31

Troyes

Last Six:

Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Angers	38	-11	41
15	Troyes	38	-16	38
16	Lorient	38	-28	36

We said: Saint-Etienne 2-1 Troyes

Troyes come into the match with the momentum of two consecutive wins, but they will come up against one of the most motivated, stubborn sides in the league right now. Dupraz's men just keep finding a way and we are backing them to snatch another important three points in their fight for survival. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Saint-Etienne	Draw	Troyes
46.27%	26.3%	27.42%

Both teams to score 49.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.82%

54.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.41%

75.58%

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.62%

23.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.65%

57.35%

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.16%

34.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.43%

71.57%

Score Analysis

Saint-Etienne 46.27%

Troyes 27.42%

Draw 26.3%

Saint-Etienne	Draw	Troyes
1-0 @ 11.83% 2-1 @ 9.07% 2-0 @ 8.6% 3-1 @ 4.4% 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.78% Total : 46.27%	1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 8.14% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.3%	0-1 @ 8.59% 1-2 @ 6.58% 0-2 @ 4.53% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.68% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.14% Total : 27.42%